Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.39/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.70
-20% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
22.4 Crosses 15.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Zamora
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.27 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
254 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VENK
21.03.2024 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
02.07.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
13.05.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-3 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
04.07.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
21.05.2022 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0
AWAY Zamora
2.03 xG 0.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello squeezed past Zamora 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Academia Puerto Cabello as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 49% of the ball to Zamora's 51%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.03 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Academia Puerto Cabello's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 0.33 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Zamora?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 47%, draw 30%, Zamora 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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