AC Milan (K) 2-1 Ternana (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İTSKK, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
2-1
AWAY Ternana (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Ternana (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) squeezed past Ternana (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 65% of the ball to Ternana (K)'s 35%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Ternana (K)?

AC Milan (K) 2-1 Ternana (K) in the İTSKK on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Ternana (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 51%, draw 27%, Ternana (K) 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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