Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Genoa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İTSKK, 14 Sep 2025

Fiorentina (K)
2-1 HT 1-0
Genoa (K)
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
İTSKK – 2025/2026

Fiorentina (K) vs Genoa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
68%
-3.3pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.5pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina (K) v Genoa (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+55% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Genoa (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2-1
AWAY Genoa (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 8
14 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Genoa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) nicked a narrow win over Genoa (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 61% of the ball to Genoa (K)'s 39%, shots finished 25-13.

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Genoa (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 2-1 Genoa (K) in the İTSKK on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Genoa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 65%, draw 15%, Genoa (K) 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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