RB Leipzig (K) 0-3 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
9.57
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
74%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.03
No
42%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
33%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
7%
+3.7pp
15%
Draw
14%
+0.8pp
74%
Away Win
79%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
45%
+12.4pp
42%
BTTS No
55%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.38/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/0.42
-27% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
7.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
9.2 Crosses 21.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.70 xG 3.09
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
237 Passes 589
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
13.09.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 6-2 HT 2-1 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
16.03.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
0-3
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.23 xG 1.59
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
244 Passes 656
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
5 Box Touches 35
7 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) swept aside RB Leipzig (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 30% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 70%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.23 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for RB Leipzig (K) and 4.00 for Bayern München (K).

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 0-3 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 11%, draw 15%, Bayern München (K) 74%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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