Shamakhi 3-0 Karvan Evlakh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

Shamakhi
3-0 HT 2-0
Karvan Evlakh
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Shamakhi vs Karvan Evlakh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shamakhi v Karvan Evlakh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 24%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
0.76/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-54% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi swept aside Karvan Evlakh 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shamakhi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Karvan Evlakh?

Shamakhi 3-0 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Karvan Evlakh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 44%, draw 29%, Karvan Evlakh 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamakhi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
14 Sep 2025
18:00 Neftçi PFK vs Sabah Analysis →