Politeh Chişinau 4-1 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.53
No
37%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
59%
+2.9pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
+1.9pp
37%
BTTS No
39%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Politeh Chişinau EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Politeh Chişinau
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
33 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Sparta Selemet 0-0 HT 0-0 Politeh Chişinau MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Politeh Chişinau
4-1
AWAY Sparta Selemet
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Politeh Chişinau vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Politeh Chişinau ran out comfortable winners over Sparta Selemet 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Politeh Chişinau as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Politeh Chişinau had 59% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 41%, shots finished 24-4.

What was the final score of Politeh Chişinau vs Sparta Selemet?

Politeh Chişinau 4-1 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Politeh Chişinau vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Politeh Chişinau win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Politeh Chişinau 62%, draw 17%, Sparta Selemet 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Politeh Chişinau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Politeh Chişinau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
14 Sep 2025
19:00 FC Sheriff vs Petrocub Analysis →