Binh Phuoc 3-1 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - Cup, 14 Sep 2025

Binh Phuoc
3-1
Binh Duong
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Vietnam - Cup – 2025/2026

Binh Phuoc vs Binh Duong Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
70%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
50%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.0pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.2pp
70%
Away Win
74%
-3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.3pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Binh Phuoc v Binh Duong — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binh Phuoc EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 78%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.51/3.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-55% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
235 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0

Binh Phuoc 3-1 Binh Duong — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binh Phuoc
3-1
AWAY Binh Duong
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Binh Phuoc vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binh Phuoc beat Binh Duong 3-1.

This one beat our numbers. Binh Duong carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Binh Phuoc had 52% of the ball to Binh Duong's 48%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Binh Phuoc vs Binh Duong?

Binh Phuoc 3-1 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - Cup on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binh Phuoc vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Binh Duong win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Binh Phuoc 15%, draw 15%, Binh Duong 70%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Binh Duong) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Binh Duong) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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