Leeds United vs Newcastle United Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — England - Premier League, 14 Sep 2026

Leeds United
vs
Newcastle United
📅14/09/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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England - Premier League – 2026/2027

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.32
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Newcastle United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
296 Passes 337
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.01.2026 Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-3 HT 1-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
30.08.2025 Leeds United Leeds United 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
13.05.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 2-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
31.12.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
22.01.2022 Leeds United Leeds United 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
17.09.2021 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
PREVIEW Leeds United vs Newcastle United
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Neither Leeds United nor Newcastle United earn a real lean from the model — expect a game decided by fine details.

Newcastle United's away league games have stayed low-scoring — only 1 of the last 5 cleared 2.5 goals.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United lead the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leeds United and 1.33 for Newcastle United.

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Kick-off Time

Leeds United play Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 14/09/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United is a Leeds United win at about 38% probability, priced 2.32 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Leeds United 38%, draw 29%, Newcastle United 33%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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