St Ives Town 2-1 Biggleswade Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Biggleswade Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.97/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.45
+21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Biggleswade Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2021 St Ives Town St Ives Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Biggleswade Town Biggleswade Town İNGNLP
30.08.2021 Biggleswade Town Biggleswade Town 3-2 HT 2-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Ives Town
2-1
AWAY Biggleswade Town
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 31
5 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Biggleswade Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town nicked a narrow win over Biggleswade Town 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St Ives Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St Ives Town had 43% of the ball to Biggleswade Town's 57%, shots finished 8-31.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St Ives Town and 2.00 for Biggleswade Town.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Biggleswade Town?

St Ives Town 2-1 Biggleswade Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Biggleswade Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 45%, draw 30%, Biggleswade Town 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Ives Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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