Universidad Chile 1-0 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
55%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+11.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.25/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.41
+25% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.3
Crosses 20.4
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 211
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 0-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
14.04.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-1 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
25.11.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-2 HT 0-2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
11.05.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-1 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
07.09.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
10.04.2022 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-0
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.31 xG 0.10
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
517 Passes 163
87% Pass Accuracy 61%
15 Box Touches 9
38 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile edged past Coquimbo Unido 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 70% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 30%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.31 to 0.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Universidad Chile's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coquimbo Unido led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.00 for Coquimbo Unido.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Coquimbo Unido?

Universidad Chile 1-0 Coquimbo Unido in the Chile - Cup on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 44%, draw 25%, Coquimbo Unido 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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