Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.5
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
12%
7.02
X/2
18%
4.95
X/X
9%
5.56
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
19%
2.77
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.18/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.32
-13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.2 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.06 xG 1.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
337 Passes 393
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps CONLK
12.05.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
06.11.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
29.10.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 5-2 HT 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
22.10.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
25.06.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.12 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
414 Passes 463
92% Pass Accuracy 91%
28 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC squeezed past Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 47% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 53%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.12 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 2.33 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 31%, draw 25%, Los Angeles FC 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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