Yeni Zelanda 4-0 Malezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 14 Oct 2024

Yeni Zelanda
4-0
Malezya
📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Yeni Zelanda vs Malezya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 35% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.7pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.5pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yeni Zelanda v Malezya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Zelanda EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Malezya EU Bookmakers 19%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.22/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.91
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.0 Crosses 7.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Yeni Zelanda 4-0 Malezya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Zelanda
4-0
AWAY Malezya
68% Ball Possession 32%
32 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Yeni Zelanda vs Malezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeni Zelanda cruised past Malezya 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yeni Zelanda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Yeni Zelanda had 68% of the ball to Malezya's 32%, shots finished 32-6.

What was the final score of Yeni Zelanda vs Malezya?

Yeni Zelanda 4-0 Malezya in the Friendlies on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Zelanda vs Malezya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeni Zelanda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yeni Zelanda 48%, draw 30%, Malezya 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeni Zelanda), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeni Zelanda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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