Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
2-1
HT 0-0
Tacikistan
ASKE
3-4
HT 0-2
Filipinler
ASKE
Filipinler ran out comfortable winners over Tacikistan 3-0 away from home in the Friendlies - Copa del Rey on 14 Oct 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Tacikistan had 44% of the ball to Filipinler's 56%, shots finished 15-22, expected goals 1.49 to 1.11.
Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Filipinler lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tacikistan and 3.00 for Filipinler.
What was the final score of Tacikistan vs Filipinler?
Tacikistan 0-3 Filipinler in the Friendlies - Copa del Rey on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tacikistan vs Filipinler?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tacikistan 34%, draw 35%, Filipinler 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.