Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Celaya — Team-Based Signals
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Celaya
MEK2
0-1
HT 0-0
Celaya
MEK2
2-0
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Celaya
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
Celaya cruised past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.17 for Celaya.
What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Celaya?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-5 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Celaya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 32%, draw 25%, Celaya 43%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.