Portekiz U20 1-1 İtalya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.03
Over 2.5
39%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.63
No
62%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
3.21
6+ Goals
7%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 33% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
45%
+15.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
55%
-15.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
57%
-18.9pp
62%
BTTS No
43%
+18.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İtalya U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
2 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 2-1 HT 1-1 Portekiz U20 Portekiz U20 U20EL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U20
1-1
AWAY İtalya U20
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Portekiz U20 vs İtalya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U20 and İtalya U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Portekiz U20 had 60% of the ball to İtalya U20's 40%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Portekiz U20 vs İtalya U20?

Portekiz U20 1-1 İtalya U20 in the U20 Elit League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U20 vs İtalya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U20 39%, draw 33%, İtalya U20 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portekiz U20), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portekiz U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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