Hollanda U21 3-0 İsveç U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.33
Over
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.9
2-3
42%
1.94
4-5
26%
2.79
6+
10%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.47/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.35
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
38.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
25.5 Crosses 12.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY İsveç U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2023 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 2-4 HT 1-1 Hollanda U21 Hollanda U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda U21
3-0
AWAY İsveç U21
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Hollanda U21 vs İsveç U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda U21 ran out comfortable winners over İsveç U21 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hollanda U21 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hollanda U21 had 54% of the ball to İsveç U21's 46%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of Hollanda U21 vs İsveç U21?

Hollanda U21 3-0 İsveç U21 in the European U21 on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda U21 vs İsveç U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hollanda U21 52%, draw 27%, İsveç U21 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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