Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham Legion v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-3
HT 0-2
Birmingham Legion
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Birmingham Legion 0-3 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights cruised past Birmingham Legion 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Birmingham Legion at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Birmingham Legion had 43% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 57%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.82 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.50 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
Birmingham Legion 0-3 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 45%, draw 24%, Las Vegas Lights 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.