Bury Town 1-0 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.7pp
42%
Away Win
35%
+7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bury Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.58
-34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH Bury Town vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bury Town squeezed past St Ives Town 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was St Ives Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Bury Town vs St Ives Town?

Bury Town 1-0 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bury Town vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bury Town 36%, draw 22%, St Ives Town 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St Ives Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
14 Oct 2025
00:00 AFC Sudbury vs Real Bedford Analysis →
21:30 Wimborne Town vs Yate Town Analysis →
21:45 Bishops Stortford vs Spalding United Analysis →
21:45 Stratford Town vs Worcester City Analysis →
21:45 Royston Town vs Leiston Analysis →
21:45 Halesowen Town vs Redditch United Analysis →