14/10/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.51
— our 35% vs market 32.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
49%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
6%
19%
Draw
14%
67%
Away Win
80%
28%
Under 2.5
35%
72%
Over 2.5
65%
56%
BTTS Yes
39%
44%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nepal
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vietnam SR
EU Bookmakers 85%
+18% /
+18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+20% /
+20%
0.72/2.89
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
+150%
/
-22%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-75%
37%
Ball Possession
63%
7
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
6
226 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
540 · 90%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Nepal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Vietnam SR
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
22%
Ball Possession
78%
2
Total Shots
28
1
Shots on Target
15
1
Corners
11
0
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Nepal
0-1
AWAY
Vietnam SR
38%
Ball Possession
62%
4
Total Shots
26
2
Shots on Target
13
2
Corners
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
FAQ
Nepal vs Vietnam SR
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Vietnam SR edged past Nepal 1-0 away from home in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 14 Oct 2025.
The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 72% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.
On the day, Nepal had 38% of the ball to Vietnam SR's 62%, shots finished 4-26.
What was the final score of Nepal vs Vietnam SR?
Nepal 0-1 Vietnam SR in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nepal vs Vietnam SR?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vietnam SR win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Nepal 14%, draw 19%, Vietnam SR 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vietnam SR) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Vietnam SR)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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More Asian Cup Qualifiers
14 Oct 2025