Nublense 2-1 Magallanes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 14 Nov 2024

Nublense
2-1 HT 1-1
Magallanes
📅14/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2024

Nublense vs Magallanes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nublense v Magallanes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Magallanes EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.95/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.89
-28% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
28.0 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Nublense vs Magallanes Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Magallanes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.77
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
282 Passes 483
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.07.2023 Magallanes Magallanes 1-1 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
28.01.2023 Nublense Nublense 3-2 HT 1-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİL
28.10.2020 Magallanes Magallanes 0-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİB
02.03.2020 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 1-1 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİB

Nublense 2-1 Magallanes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
2-1
AWAY Magallanes
2.04 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
277 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
42 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Magallanes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense squeezed past Magallanes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Nublense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nublense had 52% of the ball to Magallanes's 48%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.04 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nublense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nublense and 1.00 for Magallanes.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Magallanes?

Nublense 2-1 Magallanes in the Chile - Cup on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Magallanes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nublense 39%, draw 29%, Magallanes 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✗ Under 2.5
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