Romanya U20 1-1 Portekiz U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.69
2-3 Goals
46%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
7%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya U20 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz U20 EU Bookmakers 61%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-47% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Portekiz U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
12.09.2023 Portekiz U20 Portekiz U20 2-1 HT 0-1 Romanya U20 Romanya U20 U20EL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya U20
1-1
AWAY Portekiz U20
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Romanya U20 vs Portekiz U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya U20 and Portekiz U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Portekiz U20 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Romanya U20 had 41% of the ball to Portekiz U20's 59%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Romanya U20 vs Portekiz U20?

Romanya U20 1-1 Portekiz U20 in the U20 Elit League on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya U20 vs Portekiz U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Romanya U20 23%, draw 26%, Portekiz U20 51%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portekiz U20) ✗ BTTS No
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