Forfar Athletic 5-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
44%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.7pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+9.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.27/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.14
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 4.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
4 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
27.01.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
18.11.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
26.08.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
22.04.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
28.02.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Forfar Athletic and 0.67 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Forfar Athletic 5-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 33%, draw 23%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 44%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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