St Ives Town 4-1 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.85/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+24% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town swept aside Harborough Town 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Harborough Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Harborough Town?

St Ives Town 4-1 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 35%, draw 21%, Harborough Town 43%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harborough Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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