Leicester City WFC (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
61%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+10.7pp
23%
Draw
10%
+12.1pp
62%
Away Win
84%
-22.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.42/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/0.68
-100% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / -7%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 84%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 48.8
6.4 Crosses 26.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.48 xG 3.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
399 Passes 401
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 39
5 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.03.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
1-1
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.39 xG 1.94
29% Ball Possession 71%
2 Total Shots 28
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 20
172 Passes 533
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 82
5 Crosses 54
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leicester City WFC (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City WFC (K) and Chelsea (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea (K) at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Leicester City WFC (K) had 29% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 71%, shots finished 2-28, expected goals 0.39 to 1.94.

What was the final score of Leicester City WFC (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Leicester City WFC (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City WFC (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Leicester City WFC (K) 16%, draw 23%, Chelsea (K) 62%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
14 Dec 2024
20:30 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Analysis →