Napoli (K) 1-2 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away Pick
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.05
No
55%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) The Market 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) The Market 84%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
0.60 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.64
1.69 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.03
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Bad
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.4
9.7 Crosses 20.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Roma (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.50 xG 2.43
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
122 Passes 602
63% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-1 HT 3-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
10.02.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
16.01.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
1-2
AWAY Roma (K)
0.52 xG 1.86
24% Ball Possession 76%
3 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 11
120 Passes 571
54% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 34
2 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Napoli (K) vs Roma (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Roma (K) edged past Napoli (K) 2-1 on the road. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Roma (K) saw more of the ball, 76% to 24%, shots finished 3-23, expected goals 0.52 to 1.86 — on chances created, Roma (K) won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Roma (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Napoli (K) against 1.33 for Roma (K).

Napoli (K) vs Roma (K) Result & Final Score

Napoli (K) 1-2 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli (K) vs Roma (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 17%, draw 20%, Roma (K) 64%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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