Tayland 1-0 Malezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-7.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.7pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tayland EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Malezya EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.71/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.22
+4% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
22.8 Crosses 10.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tayland
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Malezya
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.87 xG 0.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 Passes 194
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2023 Tayland Tayland 3-0 HT 1-0 Malezya Malezya AFF
07.01.2023 Malezya Malezya 1-0 HT 1-0 Tayland Tayland AFF
22.09.2022 Tayland Tayland 1-1 HT 0-1 Malezya Malezya KRALK
15.06.2021 Tayland Tayland 0-1 HT 0-0 Malezya Malezya DKE
14.11.2019 Malezya Malezya 2-1 HT 1-1 Tayland Tayland DKE
05.12.2018 Tayland Tayland 2-2 HT 1-1 Malezya Malezya AFF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tayland
1-0
AWAY Malezya
1.49 xG 0.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
307 Passes 280
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tayland vs Malezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tayland edged past Malezya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tayland as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Tayland had 51% of the ball to Malezya's 49%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.49 to 0.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tayland's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malezya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tayland and 1.17 for Malezya.

What was the final score of Tayland vs Malezya?

Tayland 1-0 Malezya in the AFF Championship on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tayland vs Malezya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tayland win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tayland 63%, draw 21%, Malezya 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tayland), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tayland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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