Lorient 2-0 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
15%
4.72
X/2
11%
7.2
X/X
12%
4.47
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
11%
5.28
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.40/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.17
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.8 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Paris FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 0.53
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
432 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2021 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FRK
29.07.2019 Lorient Lorient 3-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
15.04.2019 Paris FC Paris FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR2
09.11.2018 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
06.04.2018 Lorient Lorient 2-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
03.11.2017 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
2-0
AWAY Paris FC
3.27 xG 1.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
238 Passes 404
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient saw off Paris FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lorient had 40% of the ball to Paris FC's 60%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 3.27 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lorient and 0.83 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Paris FC?

Lorient 2-0 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lorient 45%, draw 27%, Paris FC 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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