Quevilly 2-1 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 14 Dec 2024

Quevilly
2-1 HT 2-0
Concarneau
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Quevilly vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.14
6+ Goals
11%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 34% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
13%
4.92
X/2
12%
6.67
X/X
15%
3.88
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
14%
5.06
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Quevilly v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.50/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.50
+15% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Quevilly vs Concarneau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Concarneau
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
345 Passes 421
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 0-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
16.09.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 2-3 HT 0-3 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
09.03.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
18.09.2020 Concarneau Concarneau 1-1 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
21.02.2020 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
13.09.2019 Concarneau Concarneau 0-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly nicked a narrow win over Concarneau 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Quevilly found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Concarneau led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Quevilly and 1.00 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Concarneau?

Quevilly 2-1 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 36%, draw 31%, Concarneau 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quevilly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quevilly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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