Lyon (K) 5-1 FC Nantes (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
85%
-20.2pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.3pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
47.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.5 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 0
28.01.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 6-0 HT 1-0 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) FRKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
5-1
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
3.70 xG 0.27
61% Ball Possession 39%
27 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
568 Passes 317
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
62 Box Touches 4
17 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs FC Nantes (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) swept aside FC Nantes (K) 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 61% of the ball to FC Nantes (K)'s 39%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 3.70 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Lyon (K) 5-1 FC Nantes (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 65%, draw 18%, FC Nantes (K) 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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