Connahs Quay 1-0 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒20:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
78%
-8.9pp
18%
Draw
15%
+2.9pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.8pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
4.84/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+64% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
1-0
AWAY Mold Alexandra
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Mold Alexandra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 74% of the ball to Mold Alexandra's 26%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Mold Alexandra?

Connahs Quay 1-0 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 69%, draw 18%, Mold Alexandra 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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