Melita 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melita EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melita
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-3 HT 1-1 Melita MLTP
24.02.2024 Melita 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melita
0-1
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melita vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick nicked a narrow win over Melita 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zabbar St. Patrick as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Melita had 41% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 59%, shots finished 3-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melita had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melita and 1.00 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Melita vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Melita 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melita vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Melita 26%, draw 25%, Zabbar St. Patrick 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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