Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 4-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.6pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Bursa Yıldırımspor EU Bookmakers 16%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+59% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
477 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Bursa Yıldırımspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. cruised past Bursa Yıldırımspor 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 4-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 60%, draw 25%, Bursa Yıldırımspor 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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