İzmir Çoruhlu FK 1-1 Turgutluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.21
Over
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
50%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
İzmir Çoruhlu FK win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzmir Çoruhlu FK EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Turgutluspor EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +113% / -31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İzmir Çoruhlu FK
1-1
AWAY Turgutluspor
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH İzmir Çoruhlu FK vs Turgutluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzmir Çoruhlu FK and Turgutluspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İzmir Çoruhlu FK at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İzmir Çoruhlu FK had 60% of the ball to Turgutluspor's 40%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of İzmir Çoruhlu FK vs Turgutluspor?

İzmir Çoruhlu FK 1-1 Turgutluspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzmir Çoruhlu FK vs Turgutluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İzmir Çoruhlu FK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split İzmir Çoruhlu FK 55%, draw 21%, Turgutluspor 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İzmir Çoruhlu FK) ✗ Over 2.5
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