Menemen FK 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Menemen FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.94/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.68
-39% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Menemen FK
1-1
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Menemen FK and Karacabey Belediye Spor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Menemen FK at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Menemen FK had 53% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 47%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Menemen FK 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Menemen FK vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Menemen FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Menemen FK 47%, draw 25%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Menemen FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Menemen FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →