Nakhon Ratchasima 1-5 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
62%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
28%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.6pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.1pp
62%
Away Win
73%
-10.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 77%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
0.54/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.68
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
11.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
14.8 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Buriram United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.49 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
234 Passes 290
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-2 HT 1-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
27.02.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 0-3 HT 0-2 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
17.10.2021 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1-5
AWAY Buriram United
1.15 xG 2.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
329 Passes 290
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United ran out comfortable winners over Nakhon Ratchasima 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 54% of the ball to Buriram United's 46%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.15 to 2.91.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 2.33 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Buriram United?

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-5 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 19%, draw 19%, Buriram United 62%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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