14/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Zarzis vs Gabes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
30%
Draw
24%
16%
Away Win
13%
56%
Under 2.5
62%
44%
Over 2.5
38%
49%
BTTS Yes
33%
51%
BTTS No
67%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zarzis v Gabes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zarzis
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gabes
EU Bookmakers 16%
+26% /
+26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-19%
1.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.66/2.00
-30%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+32%
/
-34%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
4
326 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
245 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Zarzis vs Gabes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zarzis got the better of Gabes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zarzis as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Zarzis vs Gabes?
Zarzis 2-0 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zarzis vs Gabes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zarzis win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zarzis 54%, draw 30%, Gabes 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zarzis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Zarzis)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN1
More Tunisia - 1st Division
14 Dec 2024