RB Leipzig (K) 2-3 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 14 Dec 2025

RB Leipzig (K)
2-3 HT 0-1
Hoffenheim (K)
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

RB Leipzig (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RB Leipzig (K) v Hoffenheim (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.89/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.49
-15% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
8.9 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

RB Leipzig (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.60 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
303 Passes 429
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
13.04.2025 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 5-2 HT 2-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
03.11.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 3-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB

RB Leipzig (K) 2-3 Hoffenheim (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
2-3
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.64 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
371 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) edged past RB Leipzig (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hoffenheim (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 50% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 50%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.64 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for RB Leipzig (K) and 3.00 for Hoffenheim (K).

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 2-3 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 31%, draw 22%, Hoffenheim (K) 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALKB More Germany - Women's Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025
16:00 Bayern München (K) vs Hamburger SV (K) Analysis →
18:00 Köln (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Analysis →