Bradford Park Avenue 1-3 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Jan 2024

📅15/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.03
Over
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No Pick
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
35%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford Park Avenue EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 56%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.25/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.90
-5% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
241 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford Park Avenue
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marine
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2021 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue 3-3 HT 2-1 Marine Marine İNFAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford Park Avenue
1-3
AWAY Marine
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bradford Park Avenue vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine got the better of Bradford Park Avenue 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marine as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bradford Park Avenue had 55% of the ball to Marine's 45%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Bradford Park Avenue vs Marine?

Bradford Park Avenue 1-3 Marine in the England - Non League Premier on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford Park Avenue vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bradford Park Avenue 30%, draw 23%, Marine 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marine) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
15 Jan 2024
22:45 Hashtag United vs Lewes Analysis →
22:45 Redditch United vs Hitchin Town Analysis →