Eldense 1-1 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Jan 2024

📅15/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
6.92
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.98
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
12%
4.94
X/2
11%
5.5
X/X
13%
3.15
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
4.63
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-2.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.34/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.13
+29% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.8 Crosses 16.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 0.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
227 Passes 371
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
1-1
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.29 xG 0.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
196 Passes 249
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense and Real Zaragoza shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Eldense had 45% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 55%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.29 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Real Zaragoza?

Eldense 1-1 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Eldense 37%, draw 28%, Real Zaragoza 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eldense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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