Pescara 0-1 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Jan 2024

📅15/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.68/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.92
+25% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Perugia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
417 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
14.08.2020 Perugia Perugia 2-1 HT 2-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
10.08.2020 Pescara Pescara 2-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTB
10.07.2020 Pescara Pescara 2-2 HT 2-2 Perugia Perugia İTB
01.12.2019 Perugia Perugia 3-1 HT 2-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
12.04.2019 Pescara Pescara 1-1 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
0-1
AWAY Perugia
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia edged past Pescara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pescara had 56% of the ball to Perugia's 44%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pescara and 1.67 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Perugia?

Pescara 0-1 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pescara 44%, draw 28%, Perugia 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pescara), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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