Itabuna 1-2 Atletico Alagoinhas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Baino 1, 15 Jan 2024

Itabuna
1-2 HT 1-1
Atletico Alagoinhas
📅15/01/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Baino 1 – 2024

Itabuna vs Atletico Alagoinhas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.95
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
53%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
10%
+15.1pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
53%
Away Win
73%
-20.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Itabuna v Atletico Alagoinhas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Itabuna EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Alagoinhas EU Bookmakers 78%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+19% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Itabuna vs Atletico Alagoinhas Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Itabuna
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Alagoinhas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.02.2023 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas 0-0 HT 0-0 Itabuna Itabuna BRB1
POST-MATCH Itabuna vs Atletico Alagoinhas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Alagoinhas edged past Itabuna 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Alagoinhas as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Itabuna vs Atletico Alagoinhas?

Itabuna 1-2 Atletico Alagoinhas in the Brazil - Baino 1 on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Itabuna vs Atletico Alagoinhas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Alagoinhas win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Itabuna 25%, draw 23%, Atletico Alagoinhas 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Alagoinhas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Alagoinhas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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