USM Alger 2-0 MC Oran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 15 Jan 2024

📅15/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.95
No
62%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.17
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
30%
+7.9pp
62%
BTTS No
70%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Oran EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.67/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.53
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-3D-2L
AWAY MC Oran
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.06.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
02.10.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
18.04.2022 MC Oran MC Oran 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
24.12.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
04.07.2021 MC Oran MC Oran 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
26.01.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
2-0
AWAY MC Oran
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs MC Oran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger beat MC Oran 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, USM Alger had 57% of the ball to MC Oran's 43%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Oran led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for USM Alger and 0.67 for MC Oran.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs MC Oran?

USM Alger 2-0 MC Oran in the Algeria - 1st Division on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs MC Oran?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 55%, draw 27%, MC Oran 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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