Atlante 2-1 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 15 Jan 2024

Atlante
2-1 HT 0-0
Celaya
📅15/01/2024 · 🕒01:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Atlante vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlante v Celaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.92/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.09
-34% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Atlante vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Celaya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Corners 0
The Meetings
23.08.2023 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
16.02.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
13.11.2022 Celaya Celaya 1-3 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
10.11.2022 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
29.09.2022 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
20.01.2022 Celaya Celaya 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante nicked a narrow win over Celaya 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atlante and 0.67 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Celaya?

Atlante 2-1 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atlante 42%, draw 27%, Celaya 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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