Necaxa 2-1 Atlas — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 15 Jan 2024

Necaxa
2 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Atlas
📅15/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.82
Draw
32%
2.96
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
61%
1.58
Over
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.23
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
16%
5.3
6+
2%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.56
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
13%
5.69
X/2
14%
4.83
X/X
22%
3.6
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.64
2/X
5%
14.15
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Necaxa v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Necaxa The Market 36%
Signal
AWAY Atlas The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
1.09 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2

Necaxa vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atlas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.64 xG 1.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 Passes 283
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
22.04.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-3 HT 0-3 Atlas Atlas MEK
02.10.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
08.04.2022 Atlas Atlas 2-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
18.09.2021 Necaxa Necaxa 0-3 HT 0-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
01.05.2021 Necaxa Necaxa 1-5 HT 1-2 Atlas Atlas MEK

Necaxa 2-1 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
2 - 1
AWAY Atlas
1.45 xG 0.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
333 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Necaxa vs Atlas
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Necaxa shaded a tight game against Atlas 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Necaxa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Necaxa had 54% of the ball to Atlas's 46%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.45 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Necaxa and 2.33 for Atlas.

Necaxa vs Atlas Result & Final Score

Necaxa 2 - 1 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 31%, draw 32%, Atlas 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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