Galatasaray 2-1 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Jan 2024

Galatasaray
2-1 HT 1-0
Kayserispor
📅15/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Galatasaray vs Kayserispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.61
2-3 Goals
38%
2.26
4-5 Goals
26%
2.43
6+ Goals
12%
4.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.33
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
27.5
X/1
18%
3.58
X/2
6%
26.5
X/X
5%
11.1
2/1
9%
20.1
2/2
6%
18.1
2/X
5%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
78%
-9.9pp
16%
Draw
13%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galatasaray v Kayserispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
2.54/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.16
-2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
25.8 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Galatasaray vs Kayserispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.00 xG 0.93
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
463 Passes 246
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
14.04.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 6-0 HT 4-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
15.10.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-1 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
12.02.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
22.09.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-0 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
13.03.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-3 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL

Galatasaray 2-1 Kayserispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
2-1
AWAY Kayserispor
2.85 xG 1.85
59% Ball Possession 41%
30 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
358 Passes 208
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
46 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray nicked a narrow win over Kayserispor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Galatasaray had 59% of the ball to Kayserispor's 41%, shots finished 30-10, expected goals 2.85 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Galatasaray and 1.00 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Kayserispor?

Galatasaray 2-1 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 68%, draw 16%, Kayserispor 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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