Fjölnir 1-6 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.14
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.1pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 69%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.44/4.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.62/2.20
+53% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -48%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
0W-4D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
30.07.2020 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZK
22.07.2020 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
12.08.2018 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-0 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
21.05.2018 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-1 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
24.09.2017 Fjölnir Fjölnir 2-2 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
27.07.2017 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fjölnir
1-6
AWAY KR Reykjavik
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik swept aside Fjölnir 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fjölnir had 33% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 67%, shots finished 4-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fjölnir and 1.50 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs KR Reykjavik?

Fjölnir 1-6 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 24%, draw 20%, KR Reykjavik 56%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5
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