Bahia De Feira 1-2 Atletico Alagoinhas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Baino 1, 15 Feb 2024

Bahia De Feira
1-2 HT 0-1
Atletico Alagoinhas
📅15/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Baino 1 – 2024

Bahia De Feira vs Atletico Alagoinhas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
25%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.8pp
26%
Away Win
38%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahia De Feira v Atletico Alagoinhas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia De Feira EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Alagoinhas EU Bookmakers 42%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+64% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Bahia De Feira vs Atletico Alagoinhas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia De Feira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Alagoinhas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.06.2023 Bahia De Feira Bahia De Feira 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas BRE4
03.06.2023 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahia De Feira Bahia De Feira BRE4
15.01.2023 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas 4-0 HT 2-0 Bahia De Feira Bahia De Feira BRB1
31.03.2022 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahia De Feira Bahia De Feira BRB1
26.03.2022 Bahia De Feira Bahia De Feira 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas BRB1
30.01.2022 Bahia De Feira Bahia De Feira 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas BRB1

Bahia De Feira 1-2 Atletico Alagoinhas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia De Feira
1-2
AWAY Atletico Alagoinhas
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Bahia De Feira vs Atletico Alagoinhas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Alagoinhas edged past Bahia De Feira 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bahia De Feira at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bahia De Feira had 60% of the ball to Atletico Alagoinhas's 40%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Alagoinhas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bahia De Feira and 1.17 for Atletico Alagoinhas.

What was the final score of Bahia De Feira vs Atletico Alagoinhas?

Bahia De Feira 1-2 Atletico Alagoinhas in the Brazil - Baino 1 on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia De Feira vs Atletico Alagoinhas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia De Feira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bahia De Feira 42%, draw 33%, Atletico Alagoinhas 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bahia De Feira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahia De Feira) ✓ BTTS Yes
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