El Bayadh 3-0 ES Setif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.85
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-2.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+2.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Setif EU Bookmakers 31%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.02/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.99
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Bayadh
2W-0D-1L
AWAY ES Setif
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 2-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
07.07.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-2 HT 1-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
07.12.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Bayadh
3-0
AWAY ES Setif
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs ES Setif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Bayadh swept aside ES Setif 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had El Bayadh as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, El Bayadh had 52% of the ball to ES Setif's 48%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, El Bayadh had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for El Bayadh and 1.00 for ES Setif.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs ES Setif?

El Bayadh 3-0 ES Setif in the Algeria - 1st Division on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs ES Setif?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Bayadh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 41%, draw 30%, ES Setif 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Bayadh), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Bayadh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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