15/02/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Karbala vs Al Zawraa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
23%
Draw
28%
43%
Away Win
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karbala v Al Zawraa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Karbala
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Zawraa
EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
308 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Karbala vs Al Zawraa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Karbala squeezed past Al Zawraa 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Al Zawraa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Karbala vs Al Zawraa?
Karbala 1-0 Al Zawraa in the Iraq - Premier League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karbala vs Al Zawraa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Karbala 35%, draw 23%, Al Zawraa 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Zawraa) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Zawraa)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
15 Feb 2024