15/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Newroz vs Al Talaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
24%
29%
Draw
24%
36%
Away Win
52%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newroz v Al Talaba — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Newroz
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Talaba
EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
306 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
371 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Newroz vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Talaba edged past Newroz 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Al Talaba made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Talaba?
Newroz 1-2 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Talaba?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Newroz 35%, draw 29%, Al Talaba 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Talaba), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Talaba)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
15 Feb 2024